Future Cities

St. Louis Market

2025 North America Industrial Big-Box Review & Outlook

April 16, 2025 5 Minute Read

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Supply & Demand

Industrial big-box leasing in St. Louis declined to just 2.4 million sq. ft. in 2023, all of which occurred in transactions under 500,000 sq. ft. Less leasing and some move-outs from spaces over 500,000 sq. ft. resulted in negative net absorption and an increased big-box vacancy rate of 6.1%. Despite rise in vacancies, taking rents increased by 15.1% in facilities under 500,000 sq. ft. There is 5 million sq. ft. under construction in the market, nearly all preleased. The lack of new space from development should help stabilize vacancy growth and maintain the upward trend in rents in 2024.

Figure 4: Share of 2023 Leasing by Occupier Type

24BB-FIG04-24-STL-v2

Note: Includes new leases and renewals 200,000 sq. ft. and above.
Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 5: Lease Transaction Volume by Size Range

Image of bar graph

Note: Includes new leases and renewals 200,000 sq. ft. and above.
Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 6: 2023 Construction Completions vs. Overall Net Absorption by Size Range

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Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 7: Direct Vacancy Rate by Size Range

Image of bar graph

Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 8: Under Construction & Percentage Preleased

24BB-FIG08-24-STL-v2

Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 9: First Year Taking Rents (psf/yr)

Note: Includes first year taking rents for leases 200,000 sq. ft. and above.
Source: CBRE Research.

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