Future Cities

Indianapolis Market

2024 North America Industrial Big-Box Review & Outlook

April 16, 2025 5 Minute Read

placeholder-1-1

Supply & Demand

Over 40 million sq. ft. of big-box space completed construction in 2023, setting a local record and ranking second in North America, behind only Dallas-Ft. Worth. This massive development increased the overall vacancy rate to 11.6%, more than double 2022’s 5.6% rate. Despite 15.2 million sq. ft. of lease transaction volume, which was on par with 2022, vacancies increased. Net absorption exceeded 10 million sq. ft. for the second consecutive year, reaching 10.4 million sq. ft. 3PLs dominated transaction volume, accounting for 42.3% of total leasing activity, as they capitalized on the market’s central location and numerous logistics challenges.

No market had a larger year-over-year decrease in space under construction than Indianapolis, which ended 2023 with only 4.6 million sq. ft. under construction. This was significantly less than the 30.1 million sq. ft. under construction at the end of 2022. The sharp reduction in construction completions this year will help vacancies decline, but it may take until 2025 or later for vacancy rates to return to the 5.8% mark seen in 2022.

Figure 4: Share of 2023 Leasing by Occupier Type

24BB-FIG04-10-IND-v2

Note: Includes new leases and renewals 200,000 sq. ft. and above.
Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 5: Lease Transaction Volume by Size Range

24BB-FIG05-10-IND

Note: Includes new leases and renewals 200,000 sq. ft. and above.
Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 6: 2023 Construction Completions vs. Overall Net Absorption by Size Range

24BB-FIG06-10-IND

Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 7: Direct Vacancy Rate by Size Range

24BB-FIG07-10-IND-v2

Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 8: Under Construction & Percentage Preleased

24BB-FIG08-10-IND-v2

Source: CBRE Research.

Figure 9: First Year Taking Rents (psf/yr)

Note: Includes first year taking rents for leases 200,000 sq. ft. and above.
Source: CBRE Research.

Explore Big-Box Insights by Market

Industrial & Logistics Research